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Urban firms in particular cited the macro-economic instability as a reason to hold back investment.
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Another widely cited reason was high real interest rates. Shafraz Farook interviewed a co-author of the book in The Money Report telecast on ETV.
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He started by asking whether talking about high interest rates was now simply an academic exercise, because the country was in the grip of negative real rates.
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A. Some countries have gone through short periods where interest rates have been negative.
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And as you say if it is negative right now in Sri Lanka, then obviously that’s unsustainable.
Obviously there are some winners and some losers to that situation.
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It’s clearly a disincentive for anybody to invest, certainly in regular bank accounts.
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But on the other hand, businesses can profit from that situation.
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Unfortunately in the rural areas, a lot of rural entrepreneurs do not understand the difference between the real interest rate and the nominal interest rate. So if inflation is 18% and the interest rate is 12 %, they don’t understand that that is a negative rate; all they understand is 12% is higher than 5% and the interest rates are