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India sticks with stimulus despite good growth

NEW DELHI, December 11, 2009 (AFP) - India's car sales are racing ahead, mobile phone sales are booming and share prices have rocketed, but policy makers are signalling a go-slow approach to ending economic stimulus and hiking rates.
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Even with inflationary pressure returning, central bankers and the government are suggesting only a gradual roll-back of stimulus steps, fearful of jeopardizing economic recovery in Asia's third-largest economy.
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"With higher growth, more hawkish rhetoric might have been expected from the Reserve Bank of India," said HSBC economist Robert Prior-Wandesforde.

"However, if anything, recent comments from (central bank) governor (Duvvuri) Subbarao suggest he is in less of a hurry to move," said Prior-Wandesforde, who does not expect any interest rate rises until March.

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On Thursday, data showed food prices had risen by 19 percent from a year ago, driven by the driest monsoon in nearly four decades that has hit farm output.

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Potato prices had more than doubled while pulses were up 42 percent.

India's government and central bank face a tricky balancing act in fighting inflation and keeping economic recovery on track, economists say.



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