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Fitch assigns National Development Bank’s basel III subordinated debt ‘BBB(EXP)(lka)’

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Fitch Ratings - Colombo - 14 Jun 2024: Fitch Ratings has assigned National Development Bank PLC's (NDB, A-(lka)/Stable) proposed Sri Lankan rupee-denominated Basel III- compliant subordinated debentures of up to LKR10 billion an expected National Long-Term Rating of 'BBB(EXP)(lka)'.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

The proposed debentures will mature in five years and will be listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange. The bank plans to use the proceeds to further strengthen its Tier 2 capital base as well as to support loan growth.

The bank expects the proposed debentures to qualify as Basel III-compliant regulatory Tier 2 capital. The proposed debentures include a non-viability clause whereby they will convert to ordinary voting shares subject to the occurrence of a trigger event, as determined by the Monetary Board of Sri Lanka.

The final rating is subject to the receipt of final documentation conforming to information already received.

Fitch rates the proposed debentures two notches below the bank's National Long-Term Rating of 'A-(lka)'. This reflects Fitch's baseline notching for loss severity for this type of debt and our expectations of poor recoveries. There is no additional notching for non-performance risks, as the proposed debentures do not incorporate going-concern loss - absorption features.

NDB's National Long-Term Rating is used as the anchor rating for this instrument because the rating reflects the bank's standalone financial strength and best indicates the risk of the bank becoming non-viable.

Fitch affirmed NDB's National Long-Term Rating of 'A-(lka)', removed it from Rating Watch Negative and assigned a Stable Outlook on 5 October 2023. Details can be found in "Fitch Affirms Ratings on 15 Sri Lankan Banks; Removes Watch Negative; CBL on Negative Outlook".

RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative Rating Action/Downgrade

A downgrade of the bank's National Long-Term Rating would lead to a downgrade of the expected subordinated debt rating.

Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive Rating
Action/Upgrade

An upgrade of the bank's National Long-Term Rating would lead to an upgrade of the expected subordinated debt rating.

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