Central banking under microscope as Fed looks for easy way out

U.S. Ambassador Julie Chung alongside officials from the Sri Lanka Ports Authority, Sri Lanka Customs, Sri Lanka Atomic Energy Board, the Colombo West International Terminal and the U.S. Department of Energy

WASHINGTON, Jan 22, 2008 (AFP) - The Federal Reserve's emergency rate cut Tuesday will deliver a jolt of stimulus to an ailing US economy but may be too little and too late to avert a painful recession, analysts say.

Economists say the surprise cut of three-fourths of a percentage point, the largest since the central bank began using the federal funds rate as a policy tool in the 1990s, may help kick-start flagging growth.

Yet some say the move will bring little immediate relief and other critics say Fed chairman Ben Bernanke may have buckled to market pressure, setting a bad precedent.

Keith Hembre, chief economist for First American Funds, said the rate cut in the funds rate to 3.5 percent "is a welcome move" but not enough to avert a downturn.



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"Our forecast is that we're likely to have a recession and the Fed needs to bring its real rate (after adjusting for inflation) to zero," Hembre said, suggesting a federal funds rate of around 2.

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5 percent.

"Monetary policy is going to affect the economy with a substantial lag so this will not do anything to head off economic trouble in 2008 but it should set the stage for a pretty good environment in 2009," Hembre added.



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The emergency action aft

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