The deterioration in key economic indicators is likely to test the nerve of the economy at a time of heightened civil war, says its author, Muttukrishna Sarvananthan, principal researcher of the Point Pedro Institute of Development, Point Pedro, a think tank in northern Sri Lanka.
"Times are hard and challenging this year and beyond," he says in a paper on the economy of peace and conflict in Sri Lanka.
"Under the circumstance of inflation shooting over 20 percent for a prolonged period (with no sign of abatement), the present regime cannot play the counter-terrorism cum jingoistic card infinitely."
Sarvananthan was referring to the government's intensified military campaign against the Tamil Tiger separatists.
The campaign has succeeded in weakening the Tigers but a